老蒋你天天喊😂 不过 synth 那个分布图确实比喊单强,至少输了知道是自己没看清区间。别梭哈就行

worth repeating that these are calibrated probabilities, not signals. i've been logging their p50 bands vs realized for a month and the brier score is genuinely decent. it's a data product, treat it like one