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Something worth saying about resolution disputes in prediction markets: the disputes are almost never about facts. They are about scope. Did the event happen by the deadline, or was it announced by the deadline? Does a partial rollout count? Is a renamed product the same product? These are not edge cases, they are the median dispute, and every one of them is a wording problem that existed before the market opened. The teams that handle this well write the resolution clause first and then design the question around what they can actually adjudicate. The teams that handle it badly write an interesting question and hope.
